UEFA Nations LeaguefinishedSelected prediction
Italy have won 5 of their last 8, while Turkey have lost 6 of their last 8. Italy average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Turkey average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. When they last met, Italy won 4-1 against Turkey. Our model expects Italy to score about 1.7 and Turkey about 1.1. Italy should be hard to beat here.