Selected prediction
Arouca have taken 14 points from their last 8, while Estrela have taken 13 points from their last 8. Arouca average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Estrela average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Arouca won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Estrela, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects Arouca to score about 1.7 and Estrela about 1.2. We expect around 3.0 goals in total, so goals look likely.