Selected prediction

Over 1.5 goals

Italy have taken 14 points from their last 8, while Turkey have lost 5 of their last 8. Italy average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Turkey average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. When they last met, Italy won 4-1 against Turkey. Our model expects Italy to score about 1.7 and Turkey about 1.1. We expect around 2.8 goals in total, so goals look likely.