Venados FC vs Atlético Morelia prediction, preview and stats, 4 Nov 2026
Venados FC host Atlético Morelia in the Liga de Expansión MX on Wednesday, 4 November 2026. Our model expects 1.9 goals from Venados FC and 1.2 from Atlético Morelia, with Venados FC winning 52% of the time, a draw 24% and Atlético Morelia 24%.
Match details
Venados FC vs Atlético Morelia is a Liga de Expansión MX fixture played on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, with kick-off at 23:00 UTC.
Form guide
Venados FC's last 8 results, most recent first: D W D D W W L W.
Atlético Morelia's last 8 results, most recent first: L W L D D L W W.
Venados FC have averaged 2.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded at home over their last 14 games there.
Atlético Morelia have averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded away from home over their last 16 games there.
Venados FC vs Atlético Morelia head-to-head
26 Sept 2026: Venados FC 2-1 Atlético Morelia
15 Feb 2026: Atlético Morelia 2-1 Venados FC
What the numbers say
Win probability: Venados FC 52%, draw 24%, Atlético Morelia 24%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 60%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Team Goals: Home Over 0.5 at odds of 1.18 (79% confidence).
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.20 (77% confidence).
Venados FC have taken 15 points from their last 8, while Atlético Morelia have taken 11 points from their last 8. Venados FC average 2.9 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Atlético Morelia average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Venados FC won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Atlético Morelia, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Venados FC to score about 1.8 and Atlético Morelia about 1.2. Venados FC are expected to find the net.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.