United States vs Canada prediction, preview and stats, 7 Oct 2026
United States host Canada in the Internationals on Wednesday, 7 October 2026. Our model expects 1.7 goals from United States and 1.2 from Canada, with United States winning 48% of the time, a draw 25% and Canada 26%.
Match details
United States vs Canada is a Internationals fixture played on Wednesday, 7 October 2026, with kick-off at 02:00 UTC.
Form guide
United States's last 8 results, most recent first: W W W L W L W W.
Canada's last 8 results, most recent first: W W L W L W D D.
United States have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home over their last 15 games there.
Canada have averaged 1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded away from home over their last 4 games there.
United States vs Canada head-to-head
United States and Canada have not met in the last year of results we track.
What the numbers say
Win probability: United States 48%, draw 25%, Canada 26%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.
The single most likely score is United States 1-1 Canada.
Sportinstinct prediction
Over-Under Tips: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.27 (66% confidence).
United States have won 6 of their last 8, while Canada have taken 14 points from their last 8. United States average 2.4 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Canada average 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded away from home. Our model expects United States to score about 1.7 and Canada about 1.2. We expect around 2.8 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.