Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund prediction, preview and stats, 17 Oct 2026

Match details

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund is a Bundesliga fixture played on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 13:30 UTC.

Form guide

Union Berlin's last 8 results, most recent first: W L L L D W L D.

Borussia Dortmund's last 8 results, most recent first: L D W W W W W W.

Union Berlin have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded at home over their last 21 games there.

Borussia Dortmund have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded away from home over their last 21 games there.

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund head-to-head

24 Jan 2026: Union Berlin 0-3 Borussia Dortmund

What the numbers say

Win probability: Union Berlin 29%, draw 24%, Borussia Dortmund 47%.

Goals: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 63%.

Sportinstinct prediction

Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.18 (76% confidence).

Union Berlin have taken 8 points from their last 8, while Borussia Dortmund have won 6 of their last 8. Union Berlin average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Borussia Dortmund average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. When they last met, Union Berlin lost 0-3 against Borussia Dortmund. Our model expects Union Berlin to score about 1.4 and Borussia Dortmund about 1.8. We expect around 3.2 goals in total, so goals look likely.

Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.