Toluca vs Tijuana prediction, preview and stats, 22 Oct 2026
Toluca host Tijuana in the Liga MX on Thursday, 22 October 2026. Our model expects 1.8 goals from Toluca and 1.1 from Tijuana, with Toluca winning 52% of the time, a draw 25% and Tijuana 24%.
Match details
Toluca vs Tijuana is a Liga MX fixture played on Thursday, 22 October 2026, with kick-off at 01:00 UTC.
Form guide
Toluca's last 8 results, most recent first: D L D L W W W W.
Tijuana's last 8 results, most recent first: D D L D L W L W.
Toluca have averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded at home over their last 21 games there.
Tijuana have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded away from home over their last 17 games there.
Toluca vs Tijuana head-to-head
14 Feb 2026: Toluca 1-0 Tijuana
23 Oct 2025: Tijuana 0-0 Toluca
What the numbers say
Win probability: Toluca 52%, draw 25%, Tijuana 24%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 57%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Double Chance: Toluca or draw at odds of 1.13 (69% confidence).
Handicap: Home +1.5 at odds of 1.21 (76% confidence).
Toluca have taken 14 points from their last 8, while Tijuana have taken 9 points from their last 8. Toluca average 2.1 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Tijuana average 1.1 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Toluca won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to Tijuana, with 0.5 goals a game. Our model expects Toluca to score about 1.8 and Tijuana about 1.1. Toluca should be hard to beat here.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.
VIP results, last 7 days
14 won · 5 lost