Southampton vs Portsmouth prediction, preview and stats, 11 Oct 2026
Southampton host Portsmouth in the Championship on Sunday, 11 October 2026. Our model expects 1.8 goals from Southampton and 1.2 from Portsmouth, with Southampton winning 51% of the time, a draw 24% and Portsmouth 24%.
Match details
Southampton vs Portsmouth is a Championship fixture played on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 11:00 UTC.
Form guide
Southampton's last 8 results, most recent first: L W W D D W L W.
Portsmouth's last 8 results, most recent first: D D W L L W L L.
Southampton have averaged 2.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded at home over their last 20 games there.
Portsmouth have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded away from home over their last 24 games there.
Southampton vs Portsmouth head-to-head
25 Jan 2026: Portsmouth 1-1 Southampton
What the numbers say
Win probability: Southampton 51%, draw 24%, Portsmouth 24%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%.
The single most likely score is Southampton 1-1 Portsmouth.
Sportinstinct prediction
Over-Under Tips: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.20 (73% confidence).
Southampton have taken 14 points from their last 8, while Portsmouth have taken 8 points from their last 8. Southampton average 2.1 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Portsmouth average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. When they last met, Southampton drew 1-1 against Portsmouth. Our model expects Southampton to score about 1.8 and Portsmouth about 1.2. We expect around 2.9 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.