Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens prediction, preview and stats, 14 Oct 2026
Shakhtar Donetsk host AEK Athens in the Champions League on Wednesday, 14 October 2026. Our model expects 1.5 goals from Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.1 from AEK Athens, with Shakhtar Donetsk winning 46% of the time, a draw 27% and AEK Athens 26%.
Match details
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens is a Champions League fixture played on Wednesday, 14 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC.
Form guide
Shakhtar Donetsk's last 8 results, most recent first: W W W D W L W W.
AEK Athens's last 8 results, most recent first: W W D W W D W W.
Shakhtar Donetsk have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded at home over their last 19 games there.
AEK Athens have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded away from home over their last 23 games there.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AEK Athens head-to-head
Shakhtar Donetsk and AEK Athens have not met in the last year of results we track.
What the numbers say
Win probability: Shakhtar Donetsk 46%, draw 27%, AEK Athens 26%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 51%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.24 (73% confidence).
Shakhtar Donetsk have won 6 of their last 8, while AEK Athens are unbeaten in their last 8. Shakhtar Donetsk average 2.2 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, while AEK Athens average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded away from home. Our model expects Shakhtar Donetsk to score about 1.5 and AEK Athens about 1.1. We expect only around 2.5 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.