Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 prediction, preview and stats, 17 Oct 2026

Match details

Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 is a Bundesliga fixture played on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 13:30 UTC.

Form guide

Schalke 04's last 8 results, most recent first: L D W D L W L L.

Mainz 05's last 8 results, most recent first: L W L W D W W W.

Schalke 04 have averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded at home over their last 5 games there.

Mainz 05 have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded away from home over their last 21 games there.

Schalke 04 vs Mainz 05 head-to-head

Schalke 04 and Mainz 05 have not met in the last year of results we track.

What the numbers say

Win probability: Schalke 04 26%, draw 23%, Mainz 05 51%.

Goals: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 63%.

Sportinstinct prediction

Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.18 (74% confidence).

Schalke 04 have taken 8 points from their last 8, while Mainz 05 have won 5 of their last 8. Schalke 04 average 0.6 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Mainz 05 average 2.2 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. Our model expects Schalke 04 to score about 1.3 and Mainz 05 about 1.9. We expect around 3.2 goals in total, so goals look likely.

Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.