Sassuolo vs AC Milan prediction, preview and stats, 11 Oct 2026
Sassuolo host AC Milan in the Serie A on Sunday, 11 October 2026. Our model expects 1.7 goals from Sassuolo and 1.3 from AC Milan, with Sassuolo winning 45% of the time, a draw 25% and AC Milan 30%.
Match details
Sassuolo vs AC Milan is a Serie A fixture played on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC.
Form guide
Sassuolo's last 8 results, most recent first: L W D D W L W L.
AC Milan's last 8 results, most recent first: W L D D W W W L.
Sassuolo have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded at home over their last 24 games there.
AC Milan have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded away from home over their last 23 games there.
Sassuolo vs AC Milan head-to-head
3 May 2026: Sassuolo 2-0 AC Milan
14 Dec 2025: AC Milan 2-2 Sassuolo
What the numbers say
Win probability: Sassuolo 45%, draw 25%, AC Milan 30%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 81%, over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 60%.
The single most likely score is Sassuolo 1-1 AC Milan.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.22 (74% confidence).
Sassuolo have taken 11 points from their last 8, while AC Milan have taken 14 points from their last 8. Sassuolo average 2.4 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while AC Milan average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Sassuolo won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to AC Milan, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Sassuolo to score about 1.7 and AC Milan about 1.3. We expect around 3.0 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.