São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama prediction, preview and stats, 18 Oct 2026

Match details

São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama is a Brazilian Serie A fixture played on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 00:00 UTC.

Form guide

São Paulo's last 8 results, most recent first: W L L W L W W L.

Vasco da Gama's last 8 results, most recent first: D W W W L W L L.

São Paulo have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded at home over their last 20 games there.

Vasco da Gama have averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded away from home over their last 19 games there.

São Paulo vs Vasco da Gama head-to-head

18 Apr 2026: Vasco da Gama 2-1 São Paulo

2 Nov 2025: Vasco da Gama 0-2 São Paulo

What the numbers say

Win probability: São Paulo 42%, draw 29%, Vasco da Gama 29%.

Goals: over 1.5 goals 68%, over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 47%.

Sportinstinct prediction

Today's Picks: under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.32 (70% confidence).

São Paulo have taken 12 points from their last 8, while Vasco da Gama have taken 13 points from their last 8. São Paulo average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Vasco da Gama average 0.9 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings São Paulo won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Vasco da Gama, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects São Paulo to score about 1.3 and Vasco da Gama about 1.0. We expect only around 2.3 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.

Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.