São Paulo vs Corinthians prediction, preview and stats, 5 Nov 2026
São Paulo host Corinthians in the Brazilian Serie A on Thursday, 5 November 2026. Our model expects 1.5 goals from São Paulo and 1.0 from Corinthians, with São Paulo winning 48% of the time, a draw 27% and Corinthians 25%.
Match details
São Paulo vs Corinthians is a Brazilian Serie A fixture played on Thursday, 5 November 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC.
Form guide
São Paulo's last 8 results, most recent first: L D W W L L W D.
Corinthians's last 8 results, most recent first: W L D L L L L L.
São Paulo have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded at home over their last 22 games there.
Corinthians have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded away from home over their last 22 games there.
São Paulo vs Corinthians head-to-head
10 May 2026: Corinthians 3-2 São Paulo
What the numbers say
Win probability: São Paulo 48%, draw 27%, Corinthians 25%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 51%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Bet of the Day: São Paulo or draw at odds of 1.35 (75% confidence).
São Paulo have taken 11 points from their last 8, while Corinthians have lost 6 of their last 8. São Paulo average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, while Corinthians average 1.1 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. When they last met, São Paulo lost 2-3 against Corinthians. Our model expects São Paulo to score about 1.5 and Corinthians about 1.0. São Paulo should be hard to beat here.
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Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.