Roma vs Real Madrid prediction, preview and stats, 14 Oct 2026
Roma host Real Madrid in the Champions League on Wednesday, 14 October 2026. Our model expects 1.6 goals from Roma and 1.2 from Real Madrid, with Roma winning 47% of the time, a draw 26% and Real Madrid 27%.
Match details
Roma vs Real Madrid is a Champions League fixture played on Wednesday, 14 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC.
Form guide
Roma's last 8 results, most recent first: D D W D W W W D.
Real Madrid's last 8 results, most recent first: W L W W W L W W.
Roma have averaged 2.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded at home over their last 18 games there.
Real Madrid have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded away from home over their last 22 games there.
Roma vs Real Madrid head-to-head
Roma and Real Madrid have not met in the last year of results we track.
What the numbers say
Win probability: Roma 47%, draw 26%, Real Madrid 27%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 56%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.24 (74% confidence).
Roma are unbeaten in their last 8, while Real Madrid have won 6 of their last 8. Roma average 2.3 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Real Madrid average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. Our model expects Roma to score about 1.6 and Real Madrid about 1.2. We expect around 2.8 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.