Roma vs Genoa prediction, preview and stats, 17 Oct 2026
Roma host Genoa in the Serie A on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Our model expects 1.9 goals from Roma and 1.0 from Genoa, with Roma winning 58% of the time, a draw 23% and Genoa 19%.
Match details
Roma vs Genoa is a Serie A fixture played on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC.
Form guide
Roma's last 8 results, most recent first: L D D W D W W W.
Genoa's last 8 results, most recent first: W L W D L L L W.
Roma have averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded at home over their last 19 games there.
Genoa have averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded away from home over their last 20 games there.
Roma vs Genoa head-to-head
8 Mar 2026: Genoa 2-1 Roma
29 Dec 2025: Roma 3-1 Genoa
What the numbers say
Win probability: Roma 58%, draw 23%, Genoa 19%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 54%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.25 (72% confidence).
Roma have taken 15 points from their last 8, while Genoa have taken 10 points from their last 8. Roma average 2.3 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Genoa average 0.9 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Roma won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Genoa, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Roma to score about 1.9 and Genoa about 1.0. We expect around 2.9 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.
VIP results, last 7 days
23 won · 6 lost