Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig prediction, preview and stats, 21 Oct 2026

Match details

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig is a Champions League fixture played on Wednesday, 21 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC.

Form guide

Real Madrid's last 8 results, most recent first: W W W L W W W L.

RB Leipzig's last 8 results, most recent first: L W W L W L L W.

Real Madrid have averaged 2.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded at home over their last 21 games there.

RB Leipzig have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded away from home over their last 23 games there.

Real Madrid vs RB Leipzig head-to-head

Real Madrid and RB Leipzig have not met in the last year of results we track.

What the numbers say

Win probability: Real Madrid 65%, draw 19%, RB Leipzig 15%.

Goals: over 1.5 goals 85%, over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 59%.

Sportinstinct prediction

Draw No Bet: Home DNB at odds of 1.22 (74% confidence).

Real Madrid have won 6 of their last 8, while RB Leipzig have taken 12 points from their last 8. Real Madrid average 2.7 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while RB Leipzig average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. Our model expects Real Madrid to score about 2.4 and RB Leipzig about 1.1. Real Madrid look the better side, and the stake comes back if it ends level.

Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.