PSV vs Heerenveen prediction, preview and stats, 9 Oct 2026
PSV host Heerenveen in the Dutch Play-offs 1/2 on Friday, 9 October 2026. Our model expects 1.9 goals from PSV and 1.6 from Heerenveen, with PSV winning 45% of the time, a draw 23% and Heerenveen 32%.
Match details
PSV vs Heerenveen is a Dutch Play-offs 1/2 fixture played on Friday, 9 October 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC.
Form guide
PSV's last 8 results, most recent first: L W D W W W W D.
Heerenveen's last 8 results, most recent first: W D L D L D W W.
PSV have averaged 2.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded at home over their last 22 games there.
Heerenveen have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded away from home over their last 18 games there.
PSV vs Heerenveen head-to-head
21 Feb 2026: PSV 3-1 Heerenveen
6 Dec 2025: Heerenveen 0-2 PSV
What the numbers say
Win probability: PSV 45%, draw 23%, Heerenveen 32%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 87%, over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 68%.
The single most likely score is PSV 1-1 Heerenveen.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.24 (70% confidence).
PSV have won 5 of their last 8, while Heerenveen have taken 12 points from their last 8. PSV average 2.9 scored and 1.6 conceded at home, while Heerenveen average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings PSV won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Heerenveen, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects PSV to score about 1.9 and Heerenveen about 1.6. We expect around 3.5 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.