Porto vs Napoli prediction, preview and stats, 4 Nov 2026
Porto host Napoli in the Champions League on Wednesday, 4 November 2026. Our model expects 1.8 goals from Porto and 1.1 from Napoli, with Porto winning 55% of the time, a draw 24% and Napoli 21%.
Match details
Porto vs Napoli is a Champions League fixture played on Wednesday, 4 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC.
Form guide
Porto's last 8 results, most recent first: W W L L W W W L.
Napoli's last 8 results, most recent first: L W D W L L W D.
Porto have averaged 1.9 goals scored and 0.6 conceded at home over their last 24 games there.
Napoli have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded away from home over their last 19 games there.
Porto vs Napoli head-to-head
Porto and Napoli have not met in the last year of results we track.
What the numbers say
Win probability: Porto 55%, draw 24%, Napoli 21%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 56%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Draw No Bet: Home DNB at odds of 1.34 (69% confidence).
Team Goals: Home Over 0.5 at odds of 1.22 (76% confidence).
Porto have won 5 of their last 8, while Napoli have taken 11 points from their last 8. Porto average 1.9 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, while Napoli average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. Our model expects Porto to score about 1.8 and Napoli about 1.1. Porto look the better side, and the stake comes back if it ends level.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.