Pafos vs Riga prediction, preview and stats, 22 Oct 2026
Pafos host Riga in the Conference League on Thursday, 22 October 2026. Our model expects 1.6 goals from Pafos and 1.2 from Riga, with Pafos winning 46% of the time, a draw 26% and Riga 28%.
Match details
Pafos vs Riga is a Conference League fixture played on Thursday, 22 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:45 UTC.
Form guide
Pafos's last 8 results, most recent first: L W D D L W L L.
Riga's last 8 results, most recent first: D W D D W W W W.
Pafos have averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded at home over their last 8 games there.
Riga have averaged 1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded away from home over their last 4 games there.
Pafos vs Riga head-to-head
Pafos and Riga have not met in the last year of results we track.
What the numbers say
Win probability: Pafos 46%, draw 26%, Riga 28%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 78%, over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 57%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Handicap: Home +1.5 at odds of 1.22 (68% confidence).
Pafos have taken 8 points from their last 8, while Riga are unbeaten in their last 8. Pafos average 2.5 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Riga average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. Our model expects Pafos to score about 1.6 and Riga about 1.2. Pafos should not lose by more than a single goal.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.
VIP results, last 7 days
14 won · 5 lost