Oxford City vs Merthyr Town prediction, preview and stats, 27 Oct 2026
Oxford City host Merthyr Town in the National League N / S on Tuesday, 27 October 2026. Our model expects 1.6 goals from Oxford City and 1.0 from Merthyr Town, with Oxford City winning 53% of the time, a draw 26% and Merthyr Town 21%.
Match details
Oxford City vs Merthyr Town is a National League N / S fixture played on Tuesday, 27 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC.
Form guide
Oxford City's last 8 results, most recent first: D W W W D W W L.
Merthyr Town's last 8 results, most recent first: L D D L L D D W.
Oxford City have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded at home over their last 19 games there.
Merthyr Town have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded away from home over their last 20 games there.
Oxford City vs Merthyr Town head-to-head
3 Apr 2026: Merthyr Town 1-1 Oxford City
26 Dec 2025: Oxford City 1-3 Merthyr Town
What the numbers say
Win probability: Oxford City 53%, draw 26%, Merthyr Town 21%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 50%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Handicap: Home +1.5 at odds of 1.14 (82% confidence).
Oxford City have won 5 of their last 8, while Merthyr Town have taken 7 points from their last 8. Oxford City average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Merthyr Town average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Oxford City won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Merthyr Town, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Oxford City to score about 1.6 and Merthyr Town about 1.0. Oxford City should not lose by more than a single goal.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.
VIP results, last 7 days
20 won · 8 lost