Newcastle United vs Aston Villa prediction, preview and stats, 17 Oct 2026

Match details

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa is a Premier League fixture played on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 UTC.

Form guide

Newcastle United's last 8 results, most recent first: L W L W D W W D.

Aston Villa's last 8 results, most recent first: W D W W L W D L.

Newcastle United have averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded at home over their last 24 games there.

Aston Villa have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded away from home over their last 24 games there.

Newcastle United vs Aston Villa head-to-head

14 Feb 2026: Aston Villa 1-3 Newcastle United

25 Jan 2026: Newcastle United 0-2 Aston Villa

What the numbers say

Win probability: Newcastle United 38%, draw 24%, Aston Villa 38%.

Goals: over 1.5 goals 86%, over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 67%.

Sportinstinct prediction

Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.18 (77% confidence).

Newcastle United have taken 14 points from their last 8, while Aston Villa have taken 14 points from their last 8. Newcastle United average 1.9 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Aston Villa average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Newcastle United won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Aston Villa, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Newcastle United to score about 1.7 and Aston Villa about 1.7. We expect around 3.4 goals in total, so goals look likely.

Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.