Moreirense vs Gil Vicente prediction, preview and stats, 9 Oct 2026
Moreirense host Gil Vicente in the Portuguese Play-offs 1/2 on Friday, 9 October 2026. Our model expects 1.3 goals from Moreirense and 1.2 from Gil Vicente, with Moreirense winning 38% of the time, a draw 28% and Gil Vicente 34%.
Match details
Moreirense vs Gil Vicente is a Portuguese Play-offs 1/2 fixture played on Friday, 9 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC.
Form guide
Moreirense's last 8 results, most recent first: D W L L W L D W.
Gil Vicente's last 8 results, most recent first: D L L D W W W D.
Moreirense have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home over their last 18 games there.
Gil Vicente have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded away from home over their last 16 games there.
Moreirense vs Gil Vicente head-to-head
25 Jul 2026: Gil Vicente 2-2 Moreirense
7 Feb 2026: Moreirense 1-2 Gil Vicente
29 Aug 2025: Gil Vicente 2-0 Moreirense
What the numbers say
Win probability: Moreirense 38%, draw 28%, Gil Vicente 34%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 52%.
The single most likely score is Moreirense 1-1 Gil Vicente.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: Moreirense or draw at odds of 1.41 (64% confidence).
Moreirense have taken 11 points from their last 8, while Gil Vicente have taken 12 points from their last 8. Moreirense average 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Gil Vicente average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Moreirense won 0, drew 1 and lost 2 to Gil Vicente, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Moreirense to score about 1.3 and Gil Vicente about 1.2. Moreirense should be hard to beat here.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.