Marseille vs Toulouse prediction, preview and stats, 1 Nov 2026
Marseille host Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on Sunday, 1 November 2026. Our model expects 1.6 goals from Marseille and 1.4 from Toulouse, with Marseille winning 41% of the time, a draw 25% and Toulouse 34%.
Match details
Marseille vs Toulouse is a Ligue 1 fixture played on Sunday, 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 19:45 UTC.
Form guide
Marseille's last 8 results, most recent first: W L W L W L L L.
Toulouse's last 8 results, most recent first: D W D W D L D L.
Marseille have averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded at home over their last 23 games there.
Toulouse have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded away from home over their last 22 games there.
Marseille vs Toulouse head-to-head
7 Mar 2026: Toulouse 0-1 Marseille
4 Mar 2026: Marseille 2-2 Toulouse
What the numbers say
Win probability: Marseille 41%, draw 25%, Toulouse 34%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 81%, over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 62%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.20 (76% confidence).
Marseille have lost 5 of their last 8, while Toulouse have taken 10 points from their last 8. Marseille average 1.9 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Toulouse average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Marseille won 1, drew 1 and lost 0 to Toulouse, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects Marseille to score about 1.6 and Toulouse about 1.4. We expect around 3.0 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.