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    PreviewBundesliga · Saturday 24 October

    Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction, preview and stats, 24 Oct 2026

    Mainz 05 host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Our model expects 1.9 goals from Mainz 05 and 1.5 from Werder Bremen, with Mainz 05 winning 47% of the time, a draw 23% and Werder Bremen 31%.

    MMainz 05 logoMainz 05
    VS
    WWerder Bremen logoWerder Bremen

    Match details

    Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen is a Bundesliga fixture played on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 13:30 UTC.

    Form guide

    Mainz 05's last 8 results, most recent first: W L W L W D W W.

    Werder Bremen's last 8 results, most recent first: D D W D W L W L.

    Mainz 05 have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded at home over their last 22 games there.

    Werder Bremen have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded away from home over their last 18 games there.

    Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen head-to-head

    15 Mar 2026: Werder Bremen 0-2 Mainz 05

    What the numbers say

    Win probability: Mainz 05 47%, draw 23%, Werder Bremen 31%.

    Goals: over 1.5 goals 87%, over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 68%.

    Sportinstinct prediction

    Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.24 (72% confidence).

    Mainz 05 have won 5 of their last 8, while Werder Bremen have taken 12 points from their last 8. Mainz 05 average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Werder Bremen average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. When they last met, Mainz 05 won 2-0 against Werder Bremen. Our model expects Mainz 05 to score about 1.9 and Werder Bremen about 1.5. We expect around 3.5 goals in total, so goals look likely.

    Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.

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