Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich prediction, preview and stats, 7 Nov 2026
Mainz 05 host Bayern Munich in the Bundesliga on Saturday, 7 November 2026. Our model expects 1.7 goals from Mainz 05 and 2.5 from Bayern Munich, with Mainz 05 winning 25% of the time, a draw 20% and Bayern Munich 56%.
Match details
Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich is a Bundesliga fixture played on Saturday, 7 November 2026, with kick-off at 14:30 UTC.
Form guide
Mainz 05's last 8 results, most recent first: L L L W L W L W.
Bayern Munich's last 8 results, most recent first: W D W W D W D D.
Mainz 05 have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded at home over their last 22 games there.
Bayern Munich have averaged 2.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded away from home over their last 23 games there.
Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich head-to-head
25 Apr 2026: Mainz 05 3-4 Bayern Munich
14 Dec 2025: Bayern Munich 2-2 Mainz 05
What the numbers say
Win probability: Mainz 05 25%, draw 20%, Bayern Munich 56%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 92%, over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 75%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.19 (77% confidence).
Mainz 05 have lost 5 of their last 8, while Bayern Munich are unbeaten in their last 8. Mainz 05 average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Bayern Munich average 2.7 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Mainz 05 won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Bayern Munich, with 5.5 goals a game. Our model expects Mainz 05 to score about 1.7 and Bayern Munich about 2.5. We expect around 4.2 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.