Lugano vs Basel prediction, preview and stats, 1 Nov 2026
Lugano host Basel in the Swiss Super League on Sunday, 1 November 2026. Our model expects 2.4 goals from Lugano and 1.1 from Basel, with Lugano winning 67% of the time, a draw 19% and Basel 15%.
Match details
Lugano vs Basel is a Swiss Super League fixture played on Sunday, 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 15:30 UTC.
Form guide
Lugano's last 8 results, most recent first: W W W W W W D W.
Basel's last 8 results, most recent first: D L L W L L D W.
Lugano have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded at home over their last 23 games there.
Basel have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 2.0 conceded away from home over their last 20 games there.
Lugano vs Basel head-to-head
6 Sept 2026: Basel 1-3 Lugano
17 May 2026: Lugano 4-0 Basel
15 Feb 2026: Basel 1-1 Lugano
What the numbers say
Win probability: Lugano 67%, draw 19%, Basel 15%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 86%, over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 59%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Team Goals: Home Over 0.5 at odds of 1.14 (80% confidence).
Lugano are unbeaten in their last 8, while Basel have taken 8 points from their last 8. Lugano average 2.2 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Basel average 1.6 scored and 2.0 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Lugano won 2, drew 1 and lost 0 to Basel, with 3.3 goals a game. Our model expects Lugano to score about 2.4 and Basel about 1.1. Lugano are expected to find the net.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.