Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán FC prediction, preview and stats, 1 Nov 2026
Leones Negros host Tepatitlán FC in the Liga de Expansión MX on Sunday, 1 November 2026. Our model expects 2.5 goals from Leones Negros and 0.9 from Tepatitlán FC, with Leones Negros winning 71% of the time, a draw 17% and Tepatitlán FC 12%.
Match details
Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán FC is a Liga de Expansión MX fixture played on Sunday, 1 November 2026, with kick-off at 18:00 UTC.
Form guide
Leones Negros's last 8 results, most recent first: W L D W W L D W.
Tepatitlán FC's last 8 results, most recent first: L L L D W L L L.
Leones Negros have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded at home over their last 13 games there.
Tepatitlán FC have averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.1 conceded away from home over their last 17 games there.
Leones Negros vs Tepatitlán FC head-to-head
15 Feb 2026: Leones Negros 0-0 Tepatitlán FC
What the numbers say
Win probability: Leones Negros 71%, draw 17%, Tepatitlán FC 12%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 86%, over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 57%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Over-Under Tips: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.19 (78% confidence).
Leones Negros have taken 14 points from their last 8, while Tepatitlán FC have lost 6 of their last 8. Leones Negros average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Tepatitlán FC average 0.6 scored and 2.1 conceded away from home. When they last met, Leones Negros drew 0-0 against Tepatitlán FC. Our model expects Leones Negros to score about 2.5 and Tepatitlán FC about 1.0. We expect around 3.5 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.