Köln vs Borussia M'gladbach prediction, preview and stats, 11 Oct 2026
Köln host Borussia M'gladbach in the Bundesliga on Sunday, 11 October 2026. Our model expects 2.0 goals from Köln and 1.6 from Borussia M'gladbach, with Köln winning 47% of the time, a draw 22% and Borussia M'gladbach 31%.
Match details
Köln vs Borussia M'gladbach is a Bundesliga fixture played on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 13:30 UTC.
Form guide
Köln's last 8 results, most recent first: L D L W W W W L.
Borussia M'gladbach's last 8 results, most recent first: L L L L W W W W.
Köln have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded at home over their last 19 games there.
Borussia M'gladbach have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded away from home over their last 22 games there.
Köln vs Borussia M'gladbach head-to-head
21 Mar 2026: Köln 3-3 Borussia M'gladbach
8 Nov 2025: Borussia M'gladbach 3-1 Köln
What the numbers say
Win probability: Köln 47%, draw 22%, Borussia M'gladbach 31%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 88%, over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 70%.
The single most likely score is Köln 1-1 Borussia M'gladbach.
Sportinstinct prediction
Over-Under Tips: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.16 (75% confidence).
Köln have taken 13 points from their last 8, while Borussia M'gladbach have taken 12 points from their last 8. Köln average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded at home, while Borussia M'gladbach average 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Köln won 0, drew 1 and lost 1 to Borussia M'gladbach, with 5.0 goals a game. Our model expects Köln to score about 2.0 and Borussia M'gladbach about 1.6. We expect around 3.6 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.