Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV prediction, preview and stats, 10 Oct 2026
Hoffenheim host Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga on Saturday, 10 October 2026. Our model expects 2.1 goals from Hoffenheim and 1.3 from Hamburger SV, with Hoffenheim winning 57% of the time, a draw 22% and Hamburger SV 21%.
Match details
Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV is a Bundesliga fixture played on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 15:30 UTC.
Form guide
Hoffenheim's last 8 results, most recent first: L L W L L W D L.
Hamburger SV's last 8 results, most recent first: W L L L W W L W.
Hoffenheim have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded at home over their last 17 games there.
Hamburger SV have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.9 conceded away from home over their last 20 games there.
Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV head-to-head
25 Apr 2026: Hamburger SV 1-2 Hoffenheim
13 Dec 2025: Hoffenheim 4-1 Hamburger SV
What the numbers say
Win probability: Hoffenheim 57%, draw 22%, Hamburger SV 21%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 86%, over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 63%.
The single most likely score is Hoffenheim 2-1 Hamburger SV.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.23 (72% confidence).
Hoffenheim have lost 5 of their last 8, while Hamburger SV have taken 12 points from their last 8. Hoffenheim average 2.4 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Hamburger SV average 1.1 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Hoffenheim won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Hamburger SV, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects Hoffenheim to score about 2.2 and Hamburger SV about 1.3. We expect around 3.5 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.