Heerenveen vs Excelsior prediction, preview and stats, 16 Oct 2026
Heerenveen host Excelsior in the Dutch Eredivisie on Friday, 16 October 2026. Our model expects 1.5 goals from Heerenveen and 1.6 from Excelsior, with Heerenveen winning 36% of the time, a draw 25% and Excelsior 39%.
Match details
Heerenveen vs Excelsior is a Dutch Eredivisie fixture played on Friday, 16 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:00 UTC.
Form guide
Heerenveen's last 8 results, most recent first: L W D L D L D W.
Excelsior's last 8 results, most recent first: L D L D W W L W.
Heerenveen have averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home over their last 18 games there.
Excelsior have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded away from home over their last 19 games there.
Heerenveen vs Excelsior head-to-head
7 Mar 2026: Excelsior 1-2 Heerenveen
4 Oct 2025: Heerenveen 2-1 Excelsior
What the numbers say
Win probability: Heerenveen 36%, draw 25%, Excelsior 39%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 63%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Over-Under Tips: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.21 (75% confidence).
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.21 (75% confidence).
Heerenveen have taken 9 points from their last 8, while Excelsior have taken 11 points from their last 8. Heerenveen average 1.9 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Excelsior average 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Heerenveen won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Excelsior, with 3.0 goals a game. Our model expects Heerenveen to score about 1.5 and Excelsior about 1.6. We expect around 3.1 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.