Groningen vs Ajax prediction, preview and stats, 18 Oct 2026
Groningen host Ajax in the Dutch Eredivisie on Sunday, 18 October 2026. Our model expects 1.6 goals from Groningen and 1.9 from Ajax, with Groningen winning 32% of the time, a draw 23% and Ajax 45%.
Match details
Groningen vs Ajax is a Dutch Eredivisie fixture played on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:45 UTC.
Form guide
Groningen's last 8 results, most recent first: W W D D L L W W.
Ajax's last 8 results, most recent first: L D D W W L W W.
Groningen have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded at home over their last 23 games there.
Ajax have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded away from home over their last 19 games there.
Groningen vs Ajax head-to-head
21 May 2026: Ajax 2-0 Groningen
7 Mar 2026: Groningen 3-1 Ajax
2 Dec 2025: Ajax 2-0 Groningen
What the numbers say
Win probability: Groningen 32%, draw 23%, Ajax 45%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 86%, over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 67%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.17 (77% confidence).
Groningen have taken 14 points from their last 8, while Ajax have taken 14 points from their last 8. Groningen average 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Ajax average 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Groningen won 1, drew 0 and lost 2 to Ajax, with 2.7 goals a game. Our model expects Groningen to score about 1.6 and Ajax about 1.9. We expect around 3.4 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.
VIP results, last 7 days
23 won · 6 lost