Fluminense vs Palmeiras prediction, preview and stats, 15 Oct 2026
Fluminense host Palmeiras in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Thursday, 15 October 2026. Our model expects 1.3 goals from Fluminense and 1.1 from Palmeiras, with Fluminense winning 40% of the time, a draw 29% and Palmeiras 31%.
Match details
Fluminense vs Palmeiras is a CONMEBOL Libertadores fixture played on Thursday, 15 October 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC.
Form guide
Fluminense's last 8 results, most recent first: L W W L L W W D.
Palmeiras's last 8 results, most recent first: W W D L W W D D.
Fluminense have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded at home over their last 22 games there.
Palmeiras have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded away from home over their last 23 games there.
Fluminense vs Palmeiras head-to-head
15 Aug 2026: Fluminense 3-2 Palmeiras
26 Feb 2026: Palmeiras 2-1 Fluminense
23 Nov 2025: Palmeiras 0-0 Fluminense
What the numbers say
Win probability: Fluminense 40%, draw 29%, Palmeiras 31%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 70%, over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 50%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.22 (77% confidence).
Fluminense have taken 13 points from their last 8, while Palmeiras have taken 15 points from their last 8. Fluminense average 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Palmeiras average 1.7 scored and 0.9 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Fluminense won 1, drew 1 and lost 1 to Palmeiras, with 2.7 goals a game. Our model expects Fluminense to score about 1.3 and Palmeiras about 1.1. We expect only around 2.4 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.