Excelsior vs Groningen prediction, preview and stats, 11 Oct 2026
Excelsior host Groningen in the Dutch Play-offs 1/2 on Sunday, 11 October 2026. Our model expects 1.8 goals from Excelsior and 1.4 from Groningen, with Excelsior winning 45% of the time, a draw 24% and Groningen 31%.
Match details
Excelsior vs Groningen is a Dutch Play-offs 1/2 fixture played on Sunday, 11 October 2026, with kick-off at 14:45 UTC.
Form guide
Excelsior's last 8 results, most recent first: D L D W W L W W.
Groningen's last 8 results, most recent first: W D D L L W W W.
Excelsior have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded at home over their last 17 games there.
Groningen have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded away from home over their last 18 games there.
Excelsior vs Groningen head-to-head
2 May 2026: Groningen 2-3 Excelsior
5 Dec 2025: Excelsior 0-2 Groningen
What the numbers say
Win probability: Excelsior 45%, draw 24%, Groningen 31%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 64%.
The single most likely score is Excelsior 1-1 Groningen.
Sportinstinct prediction
Both Teams to Score: both teams to score at odds of 1.46 (62% confidence).
Excelsior have taken 14 points from their last 8, while Groningen have taken 14 points from their last 8. Excelsior average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Groningen average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Excelsior won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Groningen, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Excelsior to score about 1.8 and Groningen about 1.4. Both sides should find the net, so goals at both ends look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.