Everton vs Chelsea prediction, preview and stats, 17 Oct 2026

Match details

Everton vs Chelsea is a Premier League fixture played on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 11:30 UTC.

Form guide

Everton's last 8 results, most recent first: D W W D D D W W.

Chelsea's last 8 results, most recent first: W L D W L W W W.

Everton have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded at home over their last 20 games there.

Chelsea have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded away from home over their last 20 games there.

Everton vs Chelsea head-to-head

21 Mar 2026: Everton 3-0 Chelsea

13 Dec 2025: Chelsea 2-0 Everton

What the numbers say

Win probability: Everton 49%, draw 24%, Chelsea 27%.

Goals: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 63%.

Sportinstinct prediction

Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.19 (76% confidence).

Everton are unbeaten in their last 8, while Chelsea have won 5 of their last 8. Everton average 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Chelsea average 2.0 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Everton won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Chelsea, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects Everton to score about 1.9 and Chelsea about 1.3. We expect around 3.2 goals in total, so goals look likely.

Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.