Drogheda United vs Derry City prediction, preview and stats, 16 Oct 2026
Drogheda United host Derry City in the League of Ireland Premier Division on Friday, 16 October 2026. Our model expects 1.4 goals from Drogheda United and 1.4 from Derry City, with Drogheda United winning 35% of the time, a draw 26% and Derry City 38%.
Match details
Drogheda United vs Derry City is a League of Ireland Premier Division fixture played on Friday, 16 October 2026, with kick-off at 18:45 UTC.
Form guide
Drogheda United's last 8 results, most recent first: L L W W L L L W.
Derry City's last 8 results, most recent first: W W D W W D L W.
Drogheda United have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded at home over their last 20 games there.
Derry City have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded away from home over their last 22 games there.
Drogheda United vs Derry City head-to-head
26 Jun 2026: Derry City 2-0 Drogheda United
8 May 2026: Drogheda United 1-0 Derry City
20 Mar 2026: Derry City 2-2 Drogheda United
26 Sept 2025: Drogheda United 1-1 Derry City
What the numbers say
Win probability: Drogheda United 35%, draw 26%, Derry City 38%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 57%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Over-Under Tips: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.22 (76% confidence).
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.22 (76% confidence).
Drogheda United have lost 5 of their last 8, while Derry City have won 5 of their last 8. Drogheda United average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Derry City average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 4 meetings Drogheda United won 1, drew 2 and lost 1 to Derry City, with 2.3 goals a game. Our model expects Drogheda United to score about 1.4 and Derry City about 1.4. We expect around 2.8 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.