Derry City vs St Patrick's Athletic prediction, preview and stats, 19 Oct 2026

Match details

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athletic is a League of Ireland Premier Division fixture played on Monday, 19 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC.

Form guide

Derry City's last 8 results, most recent first: L W W D W W D L.

St Patrick's Athletic's last 8 results, most recent first: L W W W D L W W.

Derry City have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded at home over their last 21 games there.

St Patrick's Athletic have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded away from home over their last 19 games there.

Derry City vs St Patrick's Athletic head-to-head

2 Aug 2026: St Patrick's Athletic 1-1 Derry City

22 May 2026: Derry City 0-0 St Patrick's Athletic

16 Mar 2026: St Patrick's Athletic 0-0 Derry City

What the numbers say

Win probability: Derry City 36%, draw 28%, St Patrick's Athletic 36%.

Goals: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 51%.

Sportinstinct prediction

Over-Under Tips: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.29 (73% confidence).

Team Goals: Home Over 0.5 at odds of 1.24 (75% confidence).

Derry City have taken 14 points from their last 8, while St Patrick's Athletic have won 5 of their last 8. Derry City average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while St Patrick's Athletic average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Derry City won 0, drew 3 and lost 0 to St Patrick's Athletic, with 0.7 goals a game. Our model expects Derry City to score about 1.2 and St Patrick's Athletic about 1.2. We expect around 2.5 goals in total, so goals look likely.

Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.