Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers prediction, preview and stats, 6 Nov 2026
Derby County host Bolton Wanderers in the Championship on Friday, 6 November 2026. Our model expects 1.2 goals from Derby County and 1.7 from Bolton Wanderers, with Derby County winning 26% of the time, a draw 25% and Bolton Wanderers 49%.
Match details
Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers is a Championship fixture played on Friday, 6 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC.
Form guide
Derby County's last 8 results, most recent first: L L D L L D D L.
Bolton Wanderers's last 8 results, most recent first: W L L D W L W W.
Derby County have averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded at home over their last 22 games there.
Bolton Wanderers have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded away from home over their last 23 games there.
Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers head-to-head
Derby County and Bolton Wanderers have not met in the last year of results we track.
What the numbers say
Win probability: Derby County 26%, draw 25%, Bolton Wanderers 49%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 79%, over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 58%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Handicap: Away +1.5 at odds of 1.18 (80% confidence).
Derby County have not won in their last 8, while Bolton Wanderers have taken 13 points from their last 8. Derby County average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Bolton Wanderers average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded away from home. Our model expects Derby County to score about 1.2 and Bolton Wanderers about 1.7. Bolton Wanderers should not lose by more than a single goal.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.