Cruzeiro vs São Paulo prediction, preview and stats, 8 Oct 2026
Cruzeiro host São Paulo in the Brazilian Serie A on Thursday, 8 October 2026. Our model expects 1.7 goals from Cruzeiro and 1.0 from São Paulo, with Cruzeiro winning 53% of the time, a draw 25% and São Paulo 22%.
Match details
Cruzeiro vs São Paulo is a Brazilian Serie A fixture played on Thursday, 8 October 2026, with kick-off at 02:30 UTC.
Form guide
Cruzeiro's last 8 results, most recent first: W L W L W L W D.
São Paulo's last 8 results, most recent first: L W L W W L D L.
Cruzeiro have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded at home over their last 22 games there.
São Paulo have averaged 0.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded away from home over their last 20 games there.
Cruzeiro vs São Paulo head-to-head
4 Apr 2026: São Paulo 4-1 Cruzeiro
What the numbers say
Win probability: Cruzeiro 53%, draw 25%, São Paulo 22%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 52%.
The single most likely score is Cruzeiro 1-1 São Paulo.
Sportinstinct prediction
Bet of the Day: under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.26 (73% confidence).
Cruzeiro have taken 13 points from their last 8, while São Paulo have taken 10 points from their last 8. Cruzeiro average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while São Paulo average 0.7 scored and 1.8 conceded away from home. When they last met, Cruzeiro lost 1-4 against São Paulo. Our model expects Cruzeiro to score about 1.7 and São Paulo about 1.0. We expect only around 2.7 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.