Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union prediction, preview and stats, 15 Oct 2026
Chicago Fire host Philadelphia Union in the US Major League Soccer on Thursday, 15 October 2026. Our model expects 1.7 goals from Chicago Fire and 1.8 from Philadelphia Union, with Chicago Fire winning 37% of the time, a draw 23% and Philadelphia Union 40%.
Match details
Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union is a US Major League Soccer fixture played on Thursday, 15 October 2026, with kick-off at 00:30 UTC.
Form guide
Chicago Fire's last 8 results, most recent first: W W W L L D D D.
Philadelphia Union's last 8 results, most recent first: W W W W W W W D.
Chicago Fire have averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded at home over their last 16 games there.
Philadelphia Union have averaged 2.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded away from home over their last 16 games there.
Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head
21 Mar 2026: Philadelphia Union 1-2 Chicago Fire
1 Nov 2025: Chicago Fire 0-3 Philadelphia Union
26 Oct 2025: Philadelphia Union 2-2 Chicago Fire
23 Aug 2025: Philadelphia Union 4-0 Chicago Fire
What the numbers say
Win probability: Chicago Fire 37%, draw 23%, Philadelphia Union 40%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 86%, over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 68%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Bet of the Day: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.17 (80% confidence).
Chicago Fire have taken 12 points from their last 8, while Philadelphia Union are unbeaten in their last 8. Chicago Fire average 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, while Philadelphia Union average 2.1 scored and 2.1 conceded away from home. In their last 4 meetings Chicago Fire won 1, drew 1 and lost 2 to Philadelphia Union, with 3.5 goals a game. Our model expects Chicago Fire to score about 1.7 and Philadelphia Union about 1.8. We expect around 3.4 goals in total, so goals look likely.
There is also 1 VIP pick on this game for Sportinstinct VIP members.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.

