Chelsea vs Manchester United prediction, preview and stats, 31 Oct 2026
Chelsea host Manchester United in the Premier League on Saturday, 31 October 2026. Our model expects 2.0 goals from Chelsea and 1.4 from Manchester United, with Chelsea winning 52% of the time, a draw 22% and Manchester United 26%.
Match details
Chelsea vs Manchester United is a Premier League fixture played on Saturday, 31 October 2026, with kick-off at 12:30 UTC.
Form guide
Chelsea's last 8 results, most recent first: D L W W L D W L.
Manchester United's last 8 results, most recent first: L L D L D D L L.
Chelsea have averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home over their last 26 games there.
Manchester United have averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded away from home over their last 20 games there.
Chelsea vs Manchester United head-to-head
18 Apr 2026: Chelsea 0-1 Manchester United
What the numbers say
Win probability: Chelsea 52%, draw 22%, Manchester United 26%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 86%, over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.17 (79% confidence).
Chelsea have taken 11 points from their last 8, while Manchester United have not won in their last 8. Chelsea average 2.1 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Manchester United average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. When they last met, Chelsea lost 0-1 against Manchester United. Our model expects Chelsea to score about 2.0 and Manchester United about 1.4. We expect around 3.4 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.