Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth prediction, preview and stats, 10 Oct 2026
Chelsea host AFC Bournemouth in the Premier League on Saturday, 10 October 2026. Our model expects 1.8 goals from Chelsea and 1.5 from AFC Bournemouth, with Chelsea winning 45% of the time, a draw 23% and AFC Bournemouth 32%.
Match details
Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth is a Premier League fixture played on Saturday, 10 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:00 UTC.
Form guide
Chelsea's last 8 results, most recent first: L D W L W W W W.
AFC Bournemouth's last 8 results, most recent first: L W D W D D L L.
Chelsea have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home over their last 24 games there.
AFC Bournemouth have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded away from home over their last 21 games there.
Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth head-to-head
Chelsea and AFC Bournemouth have not met in the last year of results we track.
What the numbers say
Win probability: Chelsea 45%, draw 23%, AFC Bournemouth 32%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 85%, over 2.5 goals 66%, both teams to score 66%.
The single most likely score is Chelsea 1-1 AFC Bournemouth.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.23 (73% confidence).
Chelsea have won 5 of their last 8, while AFC Bournemouth have taken 9 points from their last 8. Chelsea average 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while AFC Bournemouth average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded away from home. Our model expects Chelsea to score about 1.8 and AFC Bournemouth about 1.6. We expect around 3.4 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.