Chapecoense vs Athletico Paranaense prediction, preview and stats, 12 Oct 2026
Chapecoense host Athletico Paranaense in the Brazilian Serie A on Monday, 12 October 2026. Our model expects 1.4 goals from Chapecoense and 1.8 from Athletico Paranaense, with Chapecoense winning 29% of the time, a draw 24% and Athletico Paranaense 47%.
Match details
Chapecoense vs Athletico Paranaense is a Brazilian Serie A fixture played on Monday, 12 October 2026, with kick-off at 22:30 UTC.
Form guide
Chapecoense's last 8 results, most recent first: L D L W L W D L.
Athletico Paranaense's last 8 results, most recent first: D W D L D W D W.
Chapecoense have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded at home over their last 13 games there.
Athletico Paranaense have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded away from home over their last 15 games there.
Chapecoense vs Athletico Paranaense head-to-head
12 Apr 2026: Athletico Paranaense 2-0 Chapecoense
What the numbers say
Win probability: Chapecoense 29%, draw 24%, Athletico Paranaense 47%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 62%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Bet of the Day: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.24 (74% confidence).
Chapecoense have taken 8 points from their last 8, while Athletico Paranaense have taken 13 points from their last 8. Chapecoense average 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded at home, while Athletico Paranaense average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded away from home. When they last met, Chapecoense lost 0-2 against Athletico Paranaense. Our model expects Chapecoense to score about 1.4 and Athletico Paranaense about 1.8. We expect around 3.1 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.