Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen prediction, preview and stats, 9 Oct 2026
Borussia Dortmund host Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on Friday, 9 October 2026. Our model expects 2.1 goals from Borussia Dortmund and 1.1 from Werder Bremen, with Borussia Dortmund winning 59% of the time, a draw 22% and Werder Bremen 19%.
Match details
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen is a Bundesliga fixture played on Friday, 9 October 2026, with kick-off at 20:30 UTC.
Form guide
Borussia Dortmund's last 8 results, most recent first: W W W W W W L D.
Werder Bremen's last 8 results, most recent first: W D W L W L W W.
Borussia Dortmund have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded at home over their last 21 games there.
Werder Bremen have averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded away from home over their last 18 games there.
Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen head-to-head
16 May 2026: Werder Bremen 0-2 Borussia Dortmund
13 Jan 2026: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Werder Bremen
What the numbers say
Win probability: Borussia Dortmund 59%, draw 22%, Werder Bremen 19%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 60%.
The single most likely score is Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Werder Bremen.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: Borussia Dortmund or draw at odds of 1.22 (72% confidence).
Borussia Dortmund have won 6 of their last 8, while Werder Bremen have won 5 of their last 8. Borussia Dortmund average 2.2 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Werder Bremen average 1.3 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Borussia Dortmund won 2, drew 0 and lost 0 to Werder Bremen, with 2.5 goals a game. Our model expects Borussia Dortmund to score about 2.1 and Werder Bremen about 1.1. Borussia Dortmund should be hard to beat here.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.