Bohemians vs Waterford prediction, preview and stats, 9 Oct 2026
Bohemians host Waterford in the Irish FAI Cup on Friday, 9 October 2026. Our model expects 1.8 goals from Bohemians and 1.3 from Waterford, with Bohemians winning 49% of the time, a draw 24% and Waterford 27%.
Match details
Bohemians vs Waterford is a Irish FAI Cup fixture played on Friday, 9 October 2026, with kick-off at 20:45 UTC.
Form guide
Bohemians's last 8 results, most recent first: W W W D W W W L.
Waterford's last 8 results, most recent first: L D D W W D W W.
Bohemians have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded at home over their last 22 games there.
Waterford have averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.1 conceded away from home over their last 17 games there.
Bohemians vs Waterford head-to-head
9 Aug 2026: Waterford 3-1 Bohemians
6 Apr 2026: Bohemians 1-1 Waterford
6 Mar 2026: Waterford 0-1 Bohemians
What the numbers say
Win probability: Bohemians 49%, draw 24%, Waterford 27%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%.
The single most likely score is Bohemians 1-1 Waterford.
Sportinstinct prediction
Over-Under Tips: under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.47 (64% confidence).
Bohemians have won 6 of their last 8, while Waterford have taken 15 points from their last 8. Bohemians average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while Waterford average 1.4 scored and 2.1 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Bohemians won 1, drew 1 and lost 1 to Waterford, with 2.3 goals a game. Our model expects Bohemians to score about 1.8 and Waterford about 1.3. We expect only around 3.1 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.