Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig prediction, preview and stats, 17 Oct 2026
Bayern Munich host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Our model expects 2.5 goals from Bayern Munich and 1.1 from RB Leipzig, with Bayern Munich winning 68% of the time, a draw 18% and RB Leipzig 14%.
Match details
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig is a Bundesliga fixture played on Saturday, 17 October 2026, with kick-off at 16:30 UTC.
Form guide
Bayern Munich's last 8 results, most recent first: D D W W W D W W.
RB Leipzig's last 8 results, most recent first: W W L W L L W W.
Bayern Munich have averaged 3.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded at home over their last 19 games there.
RB Leipzig have averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.9 conceded away from home over their last 22 games there.
Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig head-to-head
15 Aug 2026: Bayern Munich 3-1 RB Leipzig
11 Feb 2026: Bayern Munich 2-0 RB Leipzig
17 Jan 2026: RB Leipzig 1-5 Bayern Munich
What the numbers say
Win probability: Bayern Munich 68%, draw 18%, RB Leipzig 14%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 88%, over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 62%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.15 (78% confidence).
Bayern Munich are unbeaten in their last 8, while RB Leipzig have won 5 of their last 8. Bayern Munich average 3.5 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, while RB Leipzig average 1.5 scored and 1.9 conceded away from home. In their last 3 meetings Bayern Munich won 3, drew 0 and lost 0 to RB Leipzig, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects Bayern Munich to score about 2.5 and RB Leipzig about 1.1. We expect around 3.6 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.
VIP results, last 7 days
23 won · 6 lost