Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille prediction, preview and stats, 5 Nov 2026
Bayer Leverkusen host Marseille in the Europa League on Thursday, 5 November 2026. Our model expects 2.2 goals from Bayer Leverkusen and 1.4 from Marseille, with Bayer Leverkusen winning 54% of the time, a draw 21% and Marseille 25%.
Match details
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille is a Europa League fixture played on Thursday, 5 November 2026, with kick-off at 20:00 UTC.
Form guide
Bayer Leverkusen's last 8 results, most recent first: L W L W W W W W.
Marseille's last 8 results, most recent first: W W L W L W L L.
Bayer Leverkusen have averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded at home over their last 21 games there.
Marseille have averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded away from home over their last 21 games there.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Marseille head-to-head
Bayer Leverkusen and Marseille have not met in the last year of results we track.
What the numbers say
Win probability: Bayer Leverkusen 54%, draw 21%, Marseille 25%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 88%, over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 68%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Team Goals: Home Over 0.5 at odds of 1.16 (80% confidence).
Bayer Leverkusen have won 6 of their last 8, while Marseille have taken 12 points from their last 8. Bayer Leverkusen average 2.4 scored and 1.0 conceded at home, while Marseille average 1.9 scored and 1.6 conceded away from home. Our model expects Bayer Leverkusen to score about 2.2 and Marseille about 1.4. Bayer Leverkusen are expected to find the net.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.