Bahia vs Flamengo prediction, preview and stats, 18 Oct 2026
Bahia host Flamengo in the Brazilian Serie A on Sunday, 18 October 2026. Our model expects 1.1 goals from Bahia and 1.3 from Flamengo, with Bahia winning 31% of the time, a draw 29% and Flamengo 41%.
Match details
Bahia vs Flamengo is a Brazilian Serie A fixture played on Sunday, 18 October 2026, with kick-off at 21:30 UTC.
Form guide
Bahia's last 8 results, most recent first: W L L W W W W D.
Flamengo's last 8 results, most recent first: D W D W D W W W.
Bahia have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded at home over their last 23 games there.
Flamengo have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded away from home over their last 22 games there.
Bahia vs Flamengo head-to-head
19 Apr 2026: Flamengo 2-0 Bahia
5 Oct 2025: Bahia 1-0 Flamengo
What the numbers say
Win probability: Bahia 31%, draw 29%, Flamengo 41%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 70%, over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 49%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.35 (69% confidence).
Bahia have won 5 of their last 8, while Flamengo are unbeaten in their last 8. Bahia average 1.8 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, while Flamengo average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Bahia won 1, drew 0 and lost 1 to Flamengo, with 1.5 goals a game. Our model expects Bahia to score about 1.1 and Flamengo about 1.3. We expect only around 2.4 goals in total, so a tight, low-scoring game looks likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.
VIP results, last 7 days
23 won · 6 lost