Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United prediction, preview and stats, 13 Oct 2026
Atletico Madrid host Manchester United in the Champions League on Tuesday, 13 October 2026. Our model expects 1.9 goals from Atletico Madrid and 1.3 from Manchester United, with Atletico Madrid winning 51% of the time, a draw 24% and Manchester United 25%.
Match details
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United is a Champions League fixture played on Tuesday, 13 October 2026, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC.
Form guide
Atletico Madrid's last 8 results, most recent first: W W W W L L W D.
Manchester United's last 8 results, most recent first: D D L L W D W L.
Atletico Madrid have averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded at home over their last 20 games there.
Manchester United have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded away from home over their last 19 games there.
Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United head-to-head
1 Aug 2026: Manchester United 2-1 Atletico Madrid
What the numbers say
Win probability: Atletico Madrid 51%, draw 24%, Manchester United 25%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 61%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.21 (75% confidence).
Atletico Madrid have won 5 of their last 8, while Manchester United have taken 9 points from their last 8. Atletico Madrid average 2.3 scored and 1.2 conceded at home, while Manchester United average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. When they last met, Atletico Madrid lost 1-2 against Manchester United. Our model expects Atletico Madrid to score about 1.9 and Manchester United about 1.3. We expect around 3.1 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.