Athletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro prediction, preview and stats, 8 Oct 2026
Athletico Paranaense host Atlético Mineiro in the Brazilian Serie A on Thursday, 8 October 2026. Our model expects 1.6 goals from Athletico Paranaense and 1.1 from Atlético Mineiro, with Athletico Paranaense winning 47% of the time, a draw 26% and Atlético Mineiro 27%.
Match details
Athletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro is a Brazilian Serie A fixture played on Thursday, 8 October 2026, with kick-off at 01:00 UTC.
Form guide
Athletico Paranaense's last 8 results, most recent first: W D L D W D W D.
Atlético Mineiro's last 8 results, most recent first: W D W L W D W D.
Athletico Paranaense have averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded at home over their last 14 games there.
Atlético Mineiro have averaged 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded away from home over their last 19 games there.
Athletico Paranaense vs Atlético Mineiro head-to-head
5 Apr 2026: Atlético Mineiro 2-1 Athletico Paranaense
What the numbers say
Win probability: Athletico Paranaense 47%, draw 26%, Atlético Mineiro 27%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 54%.
The single most likely score is Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Atlético Mineiro.
Sportinstinct prediction
Bet of the Day: either side to win at odds of 1.25 (73% confidence).
Athletico Paranaense have taken 13 points from their last 8, while Atlético Mineiro have taken 15 points from their last 8. Athletico Paranaense average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, while Atlético Mineiro average 0.9 scored and 1.2 conceded away from home. When they last met, Athletico Paranaense lost 1-2 against Atlético Mineiro. Our model expects Athletico Paranaense to score about 1.6 and Atlético Mineiro about 1.1. Neither side looks set for a draw, so we expect a winner.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a betting site and does not encourage betting.