Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction, preview and stats, 24 Oct 2026
Aston Villa host Manchester City in the Premier League on Saturday, 24 October 2026. Our model expects 1.6 goals from Aston Villa and 1.7 from Manchester City, with Aston Villa winning 37% of the time, a draw 24% and Manchester City 39%.
Match details
Aston Villa vs Manchester City is a Premier League fixture played on Saturday, 24 October 2026, with kick-off at 11:30 UTC.
Form guide
Aston Villa's last 8 results, most recent first: W W W D W W L W.
Manchester City's last 8 results, most recent first: W W L W W W W W.
Aston Villa have averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home over their last 19 games there.
Manchester City have averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded away from home over their last 21 games there.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City head-to-head
24 May 2026: Manchester City 1-2 Aston Villa
What the numbers say
Win probability: Aston Villa 37%, draw 24%, Manchester City 39%.
Goals: over 1.5 goals 85%, over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 67%.
Sportinstinct prediction
Today's Picks: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.17 (79% confidence).
Aston Villa have won 6 of their last 8, while Manchester City have won 7 of their last 8. Aston Villa average 2.2 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Manchester City average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded away from home. When they last met, Aston Villa won 2-1 against Manchester City. Our model expects Aston Villa to score about 1.6 and Manchester City about 1.7. We expect around 3.4 goals in total, so goals look likely.
Our picks are built from the data and reviewed, but they are analysis, never a guarantee. Sportinstinct is not a bookmaker and does not take bets.
VIP results, last 7 days
8 won · 3 lost